Hi all its been a while since ive had chance to put something down on here and im hoping we can find a winner or two today.
First up we have one for you at Sandownd in the 330 and that one is CONAS TAOI 7/1 . A winner of no less than 7 races last term and the yard will be hoping that he can leave behind a lack lustre reappearance and get back to those winning ways. A previous course winner who will relish today’s conditions over this marathon trip.
Next we have a rather more speculative roll of the dice at Chepstow with huge outsider QUEBEC 50/1 (245) . A lot of uncertainty surrounding this selection and is not one to throw a large stake at but trainers record here and in these sort of events is not to be sniffed at and is given a smal EW chance
The first of our main selections and today’s NB is up next and that is ROWDY ROCHER 11/2 In the Wetherby 110. Will need to be on his game to turn over the short priced fav but that one has a 10lb rise to contend with and ours comes from a yard that are in fine form and he can go well fresh. This previous course winner is overpriced for what i think is a leading contender here.
We have to wait until this evenings card at Wolverhampton kicks off for the NAP Selection and that is VINCENZO COCOTTI 9/2 in the 545. Course and distance winner seeking a hat trick for this very shrewd yard. The way he finished last time would suggest that there is still more to come. He won going away from a big field that day and this looks easier.
Finally today’s IWAC selection is a bit of an unknown in NOVIS ADVENTUS 16/1 in the 745 Wolverhamton. Trainer Jeremy Noseda does very well at this course and has an interesting one here who is having his first run for the yard. A well travelled horse that has been tried in many different races, up in distance on yrd debut and could be anything if truth be told.
CONAS TAOI 1PT WIN 7/1 (330 SAND)
QUEBEC 0.5PT WIN 50/1 (245 CHEP)
NB: ROWDY ROCHER 1PT WIN 11/2 (110 WETH)
NAP: VINCENZO COCOTTI 1PT WIN 9/2 (545 WOLV)
IWAC: NOVIS ADVENTUS 0.5PT EW 16/1 (745 WOLV)
0.25PT PATENT: NAP / NB / CONAS TAOI 1.75PTS
TOTAL PTS ADVISED: 6.75PTS
A poor day yesterday with our selections and today looks a little tricky too with the overnight rain. For that reason we are being a little cautious with todays.
First up is today’s IWAC which is a very tentative outsider in KNIGHT COMMANDER 40/1 (300 Exeter) Having first run for his new stable who can do well with these sorts coming over from the flat. Should stay todays trip and in fact could well need it and has often been run on soft ground for previous trainer showing an obvious preference for it. EW chance.
Today’s NB is another tentative one in CROPLEY 12/1 (400 Exeter) A decent looking field for a race of its magnitude which makes this a tough ask for the selection but we feel it represents good value for an above average performer off bottom weight in today’s conditions. Will need to be battle ready but looks a little less exposed than others here.
Now today’s NAP, Sue Smith’s KARISMA KING 9/2 (345 Uttoxeter) Sue looks to have a strong hand played here today and i would not discourage anyone from playing all of her 3 on the card but i personally feel that this looks her most likely winner. With conditions looking likely to worsen i can see this one shortening somewhat as Heavy ground will play in his favour. Bumped into one who had slipped the handicappers last time out and could go one better today.
IWAC: KNIGHT COMMANDER 0.5PT EW 40/1 (300 Exeter)
NB: CROPLEY 1PT WIN 12/1 (400 Exeter)
NAP: KARISMA KING 1PT WIN 9/2 (345 Uttoxeter)
0.25PT PATENT: NAP / A PLEIN TEMPS 7/2 (1245 Exeter) / American 7/2 ( 155 Exeter) 1.75pts
TOTAL PTS PLAYED: 4.75PTS
All selections are scored as 1pt win or 0.5pt EW
NAP: BABY KING 1PT WIN 4/1 (120 HAY)
NB: CONNETABLE 1PT WIN 3/1 (1240 HAY)
3B: CAID DU BERLAIS 1PT WIN 8/1 (225 HAY)
MONTHLY TOTAL: +9.5
OVERALL TOTAL: +129.03
MONTHLY TOTAL: -16.5
OVERALL TOTAL: +148.08
NAP: JACK SNIPE 1PT WIN 5/2 (250 HUNT)
NB: CANTLOW 1PT WIN 7/2 (245 PUNCH)
3B: WESTREN WARRIOR 1PT WIN 7/1 (225 HAY)
MONTHLY TOTAL: +6.37
OVERALL TOTAL: +273.75
NAP: VANITEUX 1PT WIN 5/2 (315 ASCOT)
NB: KYLEMORE LOUGH 1PT WIN 13/2 (205 ASCOT)
3B: YALA ENKI 1PT WIN 15/2 (225 HAY)
MONTHLY TOTAL: +15.65
OVERALL TOTAL: +103.29
NAP: A BOY NAMED SUZI 1PT WIN (140 HUNT)
NB: YALA ENKI 1PT WIN 15/2 (225 HAY)
3B: DAN TROOP 1PT WIN 11/2 (545 WOLVO)
MONTHLY TOTAL: +15.5
OVERALL TOTAL: +117.81
NAP: JACK SNIPE 1PT WIN 5/2 (250 HUNT)
NB: EBTKAAR 1PT WIN 7/2 (615 WOLVO)
3B: AURILLIAC 1PT WIN 5/1 (215 HUNT)
MONTHLY TOTAL: +7.25
OVERALL TOTAL: +62.8
APR 2016 – +189.55
MAY 2016 – +132.58
JUNE 2016 – +68.88
JULY 2016 – -27.54
AUG 2016 – +2.38
SEPT 2016 – +38.38
OCT 2016 – +161.73
Running Total = +834.76
(Running total from July 2015)
* Rule 4’s not applied so please allow 5% contingency to totals.